Date: Sun, 29 Oct 2006 18:03:31 -0500 (EST)
From: "Keith F. Lynch" <kfl at KeithLynch.net>
To: WSFA members <WSFAlist at KeithLynch.net>
Subject: [WSFA] Re: A DC hotels question
Reply-To: WSFA members <WSFAlist at KeithLynch.net>

Rich Lynch wrote:

> A NASFiC would have maybe 2,000-2,500 people at most -- hald to a
> third the attendance of a worldcon.  This would likely be manageable
> without needing a big convention center.

"Mike B." <omni at omniphile.com> wrote:

> "Likely"??  Weren't there Disclaves with attendance in the ~2000
> range once upon a time?

WSFA doesn't seem to have the numbers for all Disclaves, but the
largest number recorded was 1485, in 1979.  That was when the con
had been in the same hotel on the same weekend for eight years.
For whatever reason, that sort of thing tends to attract people.

The best estimate for how many people will go to a NASFiC is how many
people have been to other recent NASFiCs.  How many go to other cons
in the same region is less relevant, especially if you're looking at
numbers from nearly 30 years ago.  It could be more or fewer.